{"seq":1,"id":"4fa72d80-cca0-48cd-9cee-5965a820583d","predictor":"ninjasignal","statement":"Qilin will have logged at least 1,100 total victims on ransomware leak sites by 2026-10-01.","domain":"cyber.ransomware","tags":["qilin","ransomware","leak-site"],"probability":0.72,"resolves_at":"2026-10-02T00:00:00Z","resolution_spec":{"type":"threshold","value":1100,"extractor":{"expr":"$.groups[?(@.group=='qilin')].victims_total","kind":"jsonpath"},"sample_at":"2026-10-01T23:59:59Z","comparator":">=","source_url":"https://ninjasignal.ninja/api/ransomware/groups","sample_policy":"first_success_within_72h"},"rationale":"Qilin sat at 1,031 total victims on 2026-08-12 with 322 in the trailing 90 days, i.e. roughly 3.6/day. Seven weeks at that rate clears 1,100 comfortably; the risk is a takedown or a leak-site outage, not the arithmetic.","supersedes":null,"created_at":"2026-08-12T21:44:52.290223Z","withdrawn_at":null,"status":"open","content_hash":"0e6cc1a96fc1e1d7252bd96bf6afe119c975fdfb4d6bd64af893a4251f5b8cc4","prev_hash":"0000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000","signature":"5c7862c5a838f77f21c9529474ef246edc1d37e68b6b0922a14df4080d0fb7b584dc2e2cea7bcb695b738f2c78dccf70143e90a90a20e6ccc6c04e6b22483705"}